Dent stock market predictions
FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Using exciting new research developed from years of hands-on business experience, Mr. Dent offers unprecedented and refreshingly understandable tools for seeing the key economic trends that will affect your life, your business, and your investments over the rest of your lifetime.
Dent is also a best-selling author. In his book The Great Boom Ahead, published in , Mr. Dent stood virtually alone in accurately forecasting the unanticipated boom of the s and the continued expansion into In his new book, The Demographic Cliff, he continues to educate audiences about his predictions for the next great depression, especially between and that he has been forecasting now for 20 years.
Dent received his MBA from Harvard Business School, where he was a Baker Scholar and was elected to the Century Club for leadership excellence. At Bain and Company he was a strategy consultant for Fortune companies.
He has also been the CEO of several entrepreneurial growth companies and a new venture investor. Since he has been speaking to executives and investors around the world. Other than from the aftermath of WWII, this is the first time that governments around the world have just begun frantically printing money to offset the downturns. The most important thing to understand is that central banks do not just set short term rates; they print money and buy their own bonds to set long term rates to zero.
Baby boomers are being forced to go into the stock market on higher yield assets and get crucified. Pushing long term rates so low forces people to go into stocks and other financial assets as well as allows firms on Wall Street to leverage up. This bubble we are in, which is greater than any we have been in before, is going to burst and when it does it will wipe out all the excess gains.
This financial repression is just going to destroy wealth faster than it artificially built up. It is a lifetime consumer spending cycle. We peak at age 46 and continue the trend because of automobile purchasing and especially with QE; the affluent people go to school longer which is followed by their kids and so on.
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Therefore peak spending for these people happens 6 years later, and it has been magnified due to QE since these are the same people who of the entire population are the ones who tend to own financial assets.
It is a graph of the birth index adjusted for immigration, and then projected forward 46 years for the peak spending of the average person. This is why since governments have been doing endless QE and stimulus just to keep the bubble going enough so that the affluent people can at least continue spending.
This demographic trend will continue to point down until which is when the next generation comes along. Authorities have been able to hold off the burst as long as they wealthy continue to spend, but they are not anymore. The productivity that was created in the s from inventions like the automobile and so on is not present today.
Today our economic progression is being backed by Facebook and watching the new viral videos. The point is that these 4 cycles have turned down only twice in the last century before this. Governments are fighting the impending crash tooth and nail and have resorted to emergency measures such as zero interest rates and in some cases even negative interest rates. From it we can see that since November , we have gone nowhere and we are right now at the bottom of the rounder top and I am confident it will not go up from here.
Europe going to be in deep trouble. Banks are failing in Italy like no tomorrow, and I predict by end of the year Italy will be the next Greece, effectively marking the end of the Euro Zone. They already have immigration problems, debt problems, and slowing growth despite endless stimulus. So what can the Fed and central banks in Europe do about that?
Once that happens it is going to send a shockwave in commodities and especially real estate, since it is the Chinese after all who are buying all the cutting edge real estate throughout the world. This is not the time to be taking risk; it is the time to be prudent. The idea is to realize that this is a once in a lifetime reset and you have to simply get out of the way.
Bubbles build on denial because everyone benefits, even the average person has a lower mortgage than car payments because of the bubble and zero interest rates.
Harry Dent's Dented Predictions - Barron's
It is because of the fact that everyone benefits that everyone goes in denial. Gold is a bubble as well. Gold went up 8x in 10 years, there are not many bubbles bigger than the gold bubble and now it is bursting. Most of the time in cycles, we either have moderate or extreme inflation, but this is the one time we have deflation and therefore I do not want to be in gold or in commodities.
We are still the best house in a bad neighborhood. China is going to be the biggest urban disaster in modern history.
Harry Dent doomsayer is bullish because of Trump - Business Insider
They have million people that are not even registered citizens working low paying jobs that are primarily focused on building infrastructure for nobody. And when this crash comes, those people are done for. When stocks crash, price earnings ratios collapse, and risk premiums go up on everything.
So if I was in stocks, I would rather be in pharmaceuticals, health and wellness etc. These are the stocks to buy when the Dow goes down to Long Publisher - LONGWave. Signup for notification of the next MACRO INSIGHTS.
Harry Dent: Stocks Will Fall % Within 3 Years | Zero Hedge
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